SUI
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MASTER
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ESEN VERDICT
Analyzing…
Horizon6–12M
Confidence—
Data coverage—
ESEN Output Unavailable — SUI
Generated: 2026-09-30T01:42:35Z
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Snapshot
Ticker
SUI
Company
Sun Communities Inc
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
Real Estate
Market Cap
$14.6B
Current Price
$123.30
52W High
$137.85
52W Low
$115.90
YTD Return
−6.10%
Today's Change
+2.59%
Earnings Momentum
| Metric | Value | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Trailing EPS (TTM) | −$7.02 | Negative Earnings |
| EPS Growth YoY | Data not disclosed | Limited visibility; requires 10-K filing review |
| Revenue Growth YoY | −20.67% | Sharp Contraction |
| Forward P/E | 47.19x | Expensive on forward basis |
| Earnings Guidance | Not available | Coverage constrained; earnings date unknown |
| Last 4Q Surprise Trend | Data not disclosed | Earnings history unavailable in dataset |
Earnings Momentum Score: 3/10 — Company faces profitability headwinds; negative TTM EPS combined with 20.67% revenue decline signals operational stress. Forward multiple suggests market pricing for recovery, but momentum is clearly negative.
Profitability & Quality
| Metric | Value | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | Data not disclosed | Real Estate segment-specific disclosure required |
| Operating Margin | Data not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Net Margin | Data not disclosed | Inferred negative from −$7.02 TTM EPS |
| ROE / ROIC | Data not disclosed | Cannot assess without equity/invested capital |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | Data not disclosed | Critical gap; typical for REITs but limits quality assessment |
| FCF Trend | Data not disclosed | No multi-period visibility |
| Profitability Flags | ✗ Strong Profitability | Flagged as weak |
Quality Score: 2/10 — Real Estate company exhibiting negative earnings, revenue contraction (−20.67% YoY), and no disclosed FCF visibility. Profitability assessment is severely constrained due to data gaps and underlying operational challenges. Quality tier is very low.
Balance Sheet Health
| Metric | Value | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Cash | Data not disclosed | Balance sheet unavailable |
| Total Debt | Data not disclosed | Balance sheet unavailable |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | Not calculable | EBITDA not provided; critical gap for Real Estate leverage assessment |
| Interest Coverage | Not calculable | Operating income / EBITDA unavailable |
| Current Ratio | Data not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Beta | 0.751 | Lower volatility than market |
| Balance Sheet Risk Flag | ✗ Weak Balance | System flagged as NOT weak, but data gaps limit confidence |
Balance Sheet Risk: MODERATE-HIGH — While system flags do not indicate structural weakness, comprehensive debt/equity metrics are absent from dataset. Real Estate sector typically carries meaningful leverage. Negative earnings and revenue contraction raise concerns about debt service capacity. Recommend 10-K review for detailed leverage and liquidity position.
Valuation Analysis
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 10.61x | Appears cheap (but EPS is negative—misleading) |
| Forward P/E | 47.19x | Highly expensive — market expects significant recovery |
| PEG Ratio | Not calculable | No forward EPS growth rate disclosed |
| Price/Sales | Not calculable | Revenue data available but requires total market cap revenue |
| EV/EBITDA | Not calculable | EBITDA not provided; critical gap for Real Estate valuation |
| Dividend Yield | 3.73% | Above average (common for REITs) |
| Dividend Per Share | $8.32 | Dividend sustainability questionable given negative earnings |
| Valuation Flag | ✗ High Valuation | System does NOT flag as high valuation |
Valuation Status: PARADOXICAL / RECOVERY PRICED IN — Trailing P/E of 10.6x appears attractive, but reflects negative earnings (creating optical cheapness). Forward P/E of 47.2x reveals market is pricing in substantial recovery. Dividend yield of 3.73% is healthy for REIT but sustainability is at risk given negative TTM EPS. Fair value contingent on successful return to profitability.
Analyst Targets & Sentiment
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus Rating | Data not available | Coverage constrained |
| Mean Target Price | Data not available | No analyst consensus disclosed |
| High Target | Data not available | Coverage constrained |
| Low Target | Data not available | Coverage constrained |
| Implied Upside / Downside | Not calculable | Target price data missing |
| Analyst Dispersion | Not calculable | No multi-analyst data |
| Current Price vs. Open Today | $123.30 vs $123.645 | Slightly below open; modest intraday pullback |
Wall Street Sentiment: UNKNOWN / DATA GAP — Analyst target consensus is not available in current dataset. Large institutional REIT typically has broad coverage, but third-party consensus data would be required to assess rating distribution and implied upside/downside. Recommend Bloomberg Terminal or FactSet review for current Wall Street positioning.
Institutional & Risk Check
| Risk Factor | Data / Status | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership Trend | Data not disclosed | Coverage constrained; typical for $14.6B REIT to have substantial institutional holding |
| Insider Activity | Data not disclosed | No insider buy/sell signals in current dataset |
| Short Interest | Data not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Hyper-Growth Flag | ✗ (False) | Not flagged — Accurate; −20.67% revenue YoY is contraction |
| High Valuation Flag | ✗ (False) | Not flagged — Conservative; forward P/E of 47.2x suggests otherwise |
| Strong Profitability Flag | ✗ (False) | Correct — Negative earnings and revenue decline confirm weakness |
| Weak Balance Sheet Flag | ✗ (False) | Unconfirmed — Data too sparse to validate; typical Real Estate leverage may exist |
| Sector / Macro Risk | Real Estate / REITs | Rising rate environment pressures REIT valuations & cap rates |
| Key Red Flags | Negative earnings; −20.67% revenue; Dividend yield mismatches TTM loss | Elevated — Operational distress signals warrant caution |
Risk Level: HIGH — Company exhibits clear operational stress (negative earnings, revenue contraction 20.67%, forward P/E 47.2x). Dividend of $8.32/share appears unsustainable given −$7.02 TTM EPS. Real Estate sector faces headwinds from rate environment. Institutional positioning unknown but sector dynamics warrant high-conviction short thesis or value-trap risk if turnaround fails.
ESEN FUNDAMENTAL VERDICT
Sun Communities Inc (SUI) — Real Estate REIT Distress Analysis
34
Conviction Level: MEDIUM-HIGH | High confidence in operational weakness; lower confidence in recovery timeline
Short Term (1–3M)
⚠ CAUTIOUS
Medium Term (6–12M)
⚠ HOLD / WAIT
Long Term (2Y+)
🔄 RECOVERY?
Final Summary:
- Operational Distress: Negative TTM EPS (−$7.02), sharp revenue contraction (−20.67% YoY), and no visible profitability recovery timeline. Quality Score 2/10 reflects severe earnings headwinds.
- Valuation Paradox: Trailing P/E 10.6x masked by negative earnings; forward P/E 47.2x implies market pricing in significant recovery. Dividend yield 3.73% appears unsustainable given negative earnings.
- Balance Sheet Uncertainty: Detailed debt/leverage metrics absent; Real Estate sector typically highly leveraged. Negative earnings and revenue decline raise debt-service concerns. Risk Level flagged HIGH.
- Momentum Collapse: Earnings Momentum Score 3/10. No visibility into earnings guidance, analyst consensus, or recovery catalyst. 52W return −6.10% reflects market disappointment; intraday bounce (+2.59%) may lack follow-through.
- Investment Stance: AVOID or HIGH-RISK TURNAROUND. Suitable only for distressed-value specialists with 2+ year time horizon and conviction on Real Estate cycle recovery. Mainstream investors should wait for stabilization of earnings and revenue. Dividend sustainability highly questionable; not suitable for income portfolios until profitability returns.
Overall Fundamental Score: 34/100 — DEEP VALUE TRAP RISK / TURNAROUND PLAY
Data as of 2026-08-14 | Analysis based on LIVE_DATA + institutional standards | Gaps noted for earnings history, consensus targets, detailed balance sheet
Data as of 2026-08-14 | Analysis based on LIVE_DATA + institutional standards | Gaps noted for earnings history, consensus targets, detailed balance sheet
AI STOCK INSIGHT
SUI Stock Analysis & Forecast
Is SUI a Good Investment in 2026?
Our model indicates a neutral outlook based on current fundamentals and momentum.
SUI Stock Forecast
Based on recent earnings trends, valuation metrics, and sector performance, SUI shows balanced risk-reward characteristics.
Should You Buy SUI Now?
Investors should consider market conditions, volatility, and long-term positioning before taking a position in SUI.