RGR
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MASTER
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ESEN VERDICT
Analyzing…
Horizon6–12M
Confidence—
Data coverage—
ESEN News Intelligence — RGR
Positive
Medium Impact
AI Summary: Sturm, Ruger received positive analyst coverage highlighting a strategic alliance with Beretta as a key growth driver. Beretta Holding completed a cash tender offer acquiring approximately 2.4M shares, signaling confidence in the partnership. The company is refreshing its product portfolio by discontinuing legacy models dating to 1955, positioning for premium mix enhancement. Third quarter 2026 earnings are scheduled for November 4. The stock declined 4.43% today to $45.47, though forward valuation (22.24x P/E) appears more reasonable than trailing multiples, supported by robust 141.54% EPS growth year-over-year.
RECENT NEWS HIGHLIGHTS
Sturm, Ruger: Strategic Alliance With Beretta Supports Long-Term Growth
SeekingAlpha — Analyst coverage identifies Beretta synergies, premium mix, and strong NICS trends as earnings growth catalysts.
Oct 25, 2026
Beretta Holding Announces Final Results of Cash Tender Offer for RGR Shares
Yahoo / Press Release — Beretta completed acquisition of up to 2,400,184 shares, demonstrating institutional commitment to partnership.
Oct 22, 2026
Sturm, Ruger Discontinues Models Dating to 1955; Plans Further Changes
Yahoo — Product portfolio refresh underway with legacy model discontinuation, strategic shift toward premium offerings.
Oct 21, 2026
Sturm, Ruger & Company to Report Q3 2026 Results on November 4
Yahoo / Press Release — Third quarter and Form 10-Q filing scheduled for Nov 4, 2026.
Oct 21, 2026
This summary reflects material public news as of October 26, 2026, 10:23 UTC. Not investment advice. For compliance: News sourced from Finnhub aggregation (SeekingAlpha, Yahoo Finance, official press releases). Forward-looking statements subject to risks and uncertainties.
SNAPSHOT
Ticker
RGR
Company
Sturm Ruger & Co Inc
Sector / Industry
Leisure Products
Market Cap
$726.5M
Current Price
$45.47 -4.43%
52W Range
$28.33 — $50.84
YTD Return
-1.39%
Beta
0.14 (Low Volatility)
EARNINGS MOMENTUM
Data Status: Real-time EPS trend and forward guidance available; detailed quarterly history constrained.
| Metric | Value | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| TTM EPS | $0.7524 | Current earnings run rate |
| EPS Growth YoY | +141.54% | Exceptional — dramatic YoY expansion |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +7.64% | Steady organic growth |
| Forward P/E | 22.24x | Market implies moderate forward earnings growth |
| PEG Ratio | 0.42 | Attractive — growth-adjusted valuation favorable |
| Earnings Date | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained; no near-term guidance visible |
Earnings Momentum Score: 7/10 — RGR exhibits strong YoY EPS growth (+141.54%) with stable revenue expansion (+7.64%), supported by an attractive sub-1.0 PEG ratio. However, absence of forward guidance and detailed quarterly breakdown limits conviction. Growth trajectory remains robust despite near-term stock weakness.
PROFITABILITY & QUALITY
Data Status: Limited visibility on detailed margin structure; profitability inferred from EPS and valuation metrics.
| Metric | Value | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Operating Margin | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Net Margin | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| EPS TTM | $0.7524 | Positive earnings generation |
| ROE / ROIC | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| FCF / Quality Flag | Not disclosed | System flags: strong_profitability=False |
| Dividend Yield | 2.79% | Modest shareholder distributions |
Quality Score: 4/10 — System flags identify lack of strong profitability markers. Absence of disclosed margin data and cash flow statements prevents detailed quality assessment. Positive EPS and modest dividend support operational viability, but limited visibility on cash generation, capital efficiency, and margin sustainability. Further fundamental disclosure needed for higher conviction.
BALANCE SHEET HEALTH
Data Status: Balance sheet detail unavailable; risk inferred from market indicators and system flags.
| Metric | Value | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Cash & Equivalents | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Total Debt | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Interest Coverage | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Current Ratio | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Leverage Risk Flag | weak_balance=False | System neutral — no explicit weak balance flag |
| Market Cap / Enterprise Value | $726.5M | Small-cap profile; limited institutional depth typical |
Balance Sheet Risk: MODERATE (5/10) — System flags do not indicate balance sheet stress. However, comprehensive debt/liquidity data unavailable. Small-cap market cap ($726.5M) typical of leisure products companies with variable leverage profiles. Absence of explicit weakness flag provides modest reassurance, but lack of detailed disclosure limits solvency conviction. Recommend direct financial filing review.
VALUATION ANALYSIS
| Multiple | Value | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 59.67x | Elevated — implies high market expectations |
| Forward P/E | 22.24x | Moderate — assumes meaningful earnings progression |
| PEG Ratio | 0.42 | Attractive — growth justifies valuation |
| P/S Ratio | Not calculable | Revenue not disclosed; limited sector comparison |
| EV / EBITDA | Not calculable | EBITDA not disclosed |
| Valuation Flag | high_valuation=True | System alert — expensive on trailing basis |
| Dividend Yield | 2.79% | Below market average; growth focus apparent |
Valuation Status: MODERATE-TO-HIGH (6/10) — Trailing P/E of 59.67x is elevated and reflects market enthusiasm for recent earnings acceleration. Forward P/E of 22.24x and attractive PEG of 0.42 suggest valuation normalizes if growth sustains. High_valuation system flag confirms stretched pricing on trailing metrics. Risk/reward hinges entirely on forward earnings delivery. Current valuation leaves limited margin for error.
ANALYST TARGETS & SENTIMENT
Data Status: Analyst consensus data unavailable; earnings date not disclosed.
| Metric | Value | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus Rating | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Price Target (Mean) | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Price Target (High) | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Price Target (Low) | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Implied Upside | Cannot calculate | Requires target price |
| Next Earnings Date | Not disclosed | Calendar constrained |
| Street Sentiment Proxy | Inferred Cautious | 4.43% intraday decline + elevated trailing P/E suggest profit-taking post-earnings strength |
Wall Street Sentiment: LIMITED VISIBILITY (5/10) — Analyst consensus, price targets, and formal ratings unavailable in current dataset. Intra-day weakness (-4.43%) and high trailing P/E imply market caution regarding valuation sustainability. Absence of formal Street guidance limits conviction. Recommend tracking next earnings call for analyst updates and forward guidance reset.
INSTITUTIONAL & RISK CHECK
| Risk Factor | Status | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership Trend | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Insider Activity | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Short Interest | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Share Dilution Risk | Not disclosed | Coverage constrained |
| Sector Cyclicality | High | Leisure Products subject to consumer discretionary swings and regulatory/political risk (firearms) |
| Beta (Volatility) | 0.139 | Low — defensive price action; insulated from broad market swings |
| System Risk Flags | high_valuation, hyper_growth, strong_profitability=False, weak_balance=False | Mixed — Growth story with profitability questions |
| Regulatory / Reputational Risk | Moderate-to-High | Firearms manufacturer; subject to political/regulatory headwinds |
Risk Level: MODERATE-TO-HIGH (6/10) — Low beta (0.139) provides defensive positioning, but sector cyclicality, regulatory/political uncertainty in firearms, and absence of institutional depth create operational risk. System flags show high valuation + hyper_growth without profitability confirmation, raising execution risk. Insider/short data unavailable. Small-cap liquidity typical. Recommend position sizing discipline and regulatory monitoring.
FINAL ESEN VERDICT
52
Overall Fundamental Score (0-100)
| Dimension | Score | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| Value / Valuation | 35/100 | High trailing P/E, moderate forward P/E; PEG attractive but requires growth delivery |
| Growth / Momentum | 72/100 | Exceptional EPS growth (+141% YoY), steady revenue (+7.6%); early-cycle strength evident |
| Profitability & Quality | 38/100 | Positive EPS; margin structure unknown; system flags weak profitability markers |
| Balance Sheet Health | 45/100 | No explicit stress signals; comprehensive debt/liquidity data absent; small-cap typical |
| Earnings Momentum | 68/100 | Strong YoY growth; PEG favorable; forward guidance unavailable |
CONVICTION LEVEL: MODERATE (6/10)
RGR demonstrates robust earnings acceleration and attractive growth-adjusted valuation (PEG 0.42), but elevated trailing P/E (59.67x) and gaps in profitability/balance sheet disclosure create conviction ceiling. Stock suitable for tactical growth exposure; unsuitable for value-focused or highly risk-averse portfolios. Data constraints prevent institutional-grade conviction.
TIME HORIZON GRID
Short (1-3M)
Risk elevated from valuation compression & profit-taking. Watch next earnings.
Medium (6-12M)
Growth trajectory key. Forward P/E of 22.24x fair if EPS guidance confirms. Sector cyclicality watch.
Long (2Y+)
Depends on margin expansion & profitability confirmation. Regulatory/political headwinds a chronic risk.
INVESTMENT SUMMARY (5 KEY BULLETS)
- Growth Engine: +141% YoY EPS growth with steady +7.6% revenue expansion signals strong operational momentum, despite sector cyclicality.
- Valuation Disconnect: Trailing P/E of 59.67x is expensive, but Forward P/E of 22.24x and PEG of 0.42 suggest fair pricing IF forward earnings guidance is achieved.
- Profitability Gap: System flags weak profitability markers; detailed margin & cash flow disclosure unavailable. Quality conviction constrained pending financial filing review.
- Risk Profile: Low beta (0.139) provides defensiveness, but firearms sector faces structural regulatory/political uncertainty. Small-cap liquidity typical; position sizing important.
- Near-Term Caution: Intraday decline (-4.43%) + elevated trailing valuation suggest profit-taking cycle. Next earnings date critical catalyst; forward guidance reset essential for sustained momentum.
⚠ DATA QUALITY NOTE: Analysis constrained by missing earnings calendar, analyst consensus, detailed margin structure, and balance sheet detail. Recommend cross-reference with latest 10-K/10-Q and next earnings call transcript for full institutional-grade conviction. Current assessment assumes data as-of 2026-10-26 UTC.
AI STOCK INSIGHT
RGR Stock Analysis & Forecast
Is RGR a Good Investment in 2026?
Our model indicates a neutral outlook based on current fundamentals and momentum.
RGR Stock Forecast
Based on recent earnings trends, valuation metrics, and sector performance, RGR shows balanced risk-reward characteristics.
Should You Buy RGR Now?
Investors should consider market conditions, volatility, and long-term positioning before taking a position in RGR.