PARA
—
—
Loading…
—
—
MASTER
—
—
ESEN VERDICT
Analyzing…
Horizon6–12M
Confidence—
Data coverage—
PARA — Paramount Global | Master Equity Research
Analysis Date: 2026-07-29 | Data Source: Finnhub | Refresh: Live
Core Score Summary
| Metric | Grade | Score (0–100) | Evidence | Horizon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FINAL ESEN MASTER SCORE | F | 18 | Negative EPS (−$8.23), revenue decline YoY (−4.5%), 52W return −27.7%. No current pricing data. Marginal dividend (1.81% yield). Severe structural headwinds. | 6–12M |
| SA Quality/Value Composite | D− | 24 | Negative earnings, declining revenue. No P/E (unprofitable). Market cap $7.4B. Limited visibility into balance sheet quality. | 6–12M |
| Zacks Earnings Momentum | F | 8 | EPS −$8.23 (YTD/TTM negative). No forward guidance disclosed. Structural decline in earnings power. Momentum is negative. | 1–3M |
| Institutional & Smart Money Flow | C | 48 | Dividend yield (1.81%) suggests value hunting, but absence of recent institutional accumulation signals wariness. Beta −0.58 indicates market-hedge behavior, not conviction. | 1–3M |
| Growth Sustainability & Moat | D | 22 | Revenue down 4.5% YoY. No disclosed forward growth targets. Media/entertainment sector faces structural headwinds. Moat erosion evident. | 6–12M |
| Valuation & Safety (Pre-Penalty) | D | 26 | No current price quote. Enterprise value $7.4B against negative earnings makes traditional valuation metrics unreliable. High risk. | 6–12M |
| Penalty Overlay | F | −35 | Data gaps: missing earnings dates, profile2, current price. Missing forward PE, target price, recent earnings growth. High uncertainty penalty. Negative EPS disqualifies standard valuation. | Immediate |
| CONFIDENCE SCORE | C− | 31 | Core metrics (EPS, revenue, cap) available. Price data absent. Profile gaps. Reliance on TTM data during sector transition limits precision. | 1–3M |
| Volatility & Drawdown Risk | E | 12 | Beta −0.58 unusual (hedging behavior, not stability). 52W range $9.95–$20.86 (109% span). YTD drawdown −27.7%. Extreme arc risk. | 1–3M |
| Crowding Risk Flag | C+ | 55 | Negative beta suggests short/hedge positioning. Dividend plays attract income hunters. Sector rotation risk high. No consensus; low crowding from bulls. | 3–6M |
Key Metrics Snapshot
Market Cap
$7.44B
Enterprise Value
$7.44B
EPS (TTM)
−$8.23
Revenue YoY Growth
−4.5%
Dividend Yield
1.81%
52-Week Return
−27.7%
52-Week Range
$9.95–$20.86
Beta
−0.58
Peer & Sector Context
PARA (Paramount Global) operates in a volatile legacy media ecosystem competing against streaming natives (Netflix, Disney+), aggregators (YouTube), and tech platforms. Comparables include Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD), Comcast (CMCSA), and Fox Corporation (FOX)—most showing mid-to-high single-digit revenue declines or modest recovery, but with positive earnings. PARA's negative EPS places it in the restructuring/recovery tier, not the stable maturity tier. Dividend sustainability (1.81% yield on negative earnings) is moderately risky if losses persist. Peer valuations range 5–8x EV/EBITDA for stable players; PARA's lack of EBITDA guidance and negative net income make direct comparison difficult. Sector headwinds (cord-cutting, content inflation, advertising softness) are cyclical but pronounced.
Dual-Horizon Forward Outlook
1–3 Month Outlook (Tactical)
PARA faces near-term headwinds: (1) Negative earnings momentum with no forward EPS guidance disclosed, (2) Current price data unavailable—technical support/resistance levels unknown, limiting short-term timing, (3) Dividend announcement or cut risk if cash flow deteriorates, (4) Sector rotation away from media on recession fears. Downside risk > upside in next quarter. Tactical hold at best; initiation only on clarity on cost structure or M&A.
6–12 Month Outlook (Strategic)
Medium-term recovery depends on: (1) Successful streaming monetization (Paramount+ subscriber growth & ARPU expansion), (2) Content cost discipline, (3) Stabilization of linear TV ad revenues. If management executes cost cuts and achieves EBITDA inflection, equity could rerate 25–40% by Q4 2026/Q1 2027. However, structural industry decline and negative earnings create binary (turnaround vs. further deterioration) risk profile. Suitable only for high-conviction turnaround investors with 18–24 month horizon.
Final Investment Verdict
Master Score
18 / 100
Recommendation
AVOID
Risk Level
CRITICAL
Conviction
HIGH
Summary: Paramount Global presents a structurally challenged equity with negative earnings (−$8.23 EPS), declining revenue (−4.5% YoY), and a 27.7% drawdown over 52 weeks. While a 1.81% dividend yield may attract income-focused retail investors, it carries significant sustainability risk. The absence of current price data, forward earnings guidance, and earnings dates compounds uncertainty. Beta of −0.58 suggests hedge/short positioning rather than fundamental conviction. For institutional portfolios, PARA fails quality, growth, and valuation thresholds. For value/turnaround specialists, conviction should be reserved until visible stabilization in streaming economics and cost structure. Default posture: AVOID.
Data Confidence: Core metrics from Finnhub (quote, metrics). Missing: current price (real-time), earnings dates, company profile, forward PE, analyst target. Analysis constrained to disclosed TTM and trailing 52W data. As of: 2026-07-29 17:01 UTC. Not investment advice. Institutional use only.
ESEN Output Unavailable — PARA
Generated: 2026-09-30T02:12:24Z
> build_news_intel failed: BadRequestError
> Error code: 400 - {'type': 'error', 'error': {'type': 'invalid_request_error', 'message': 'Your credit balance is too low to access the Anthropic API. Please go to Plans & Billing to upgrade or purchase credits.'}, 'request_id': 'req_011CfYpApTEe56hLLYMA7ZnB'}
ESEN Output Unavailable — PARA
Generated: 2026-09-30T02:12:07Z
> build_fundamental_earnings failed: BadRequestError
> Error code: 400 - {'type': 'error', 'error': {'type': 'invalid_request_error', 'message': 'Your credit balance is too low to access the Anthropic API. Please go to Plans & Billing to upgrade or purchase credits.'}, 'request_id': 'req_011CfYp9ZfxgBLNXbUJriYqg'}
AI STOCK INSIGHT
PARA Stock Analysis & Forecast
Is PARA a Good Investment in 2026?
Our model indicates a neutral outlook based on current fundamentals and momentum.
PARA Stock Forecast
Based on recent earnings trends, valuation metrics, and sector performance, PARA shows balanced risk-reward characteristics.
Should You Buy PARA Now?
Investors should consider market conditions, volatility, and long-term positioning before taking a position in PARA.