VST

ESEN Institutional Research

VST Stock AI Analysis

ESEN AI analysis of VST stock updated every 12 hours.

ESEN Institutional Analysis

VST Systematic Research

Vistra Corp presents a distinctive profile among utility operators, with a market capitalization of $53.6 billion reflecting substantial scale in competitive power generation. The company's revenue growth of 19.14% year-over-year stands in sharp contrast to its EPS decline of 64.07%, creating a valuation puzzle that systematic screening highlights as worthy of deeper examination. Trading at $136.75 near the upper end of its 52-week range ($137.81–$219.82), VST carries a P/E ratio of 48.84, elevated for the utilities sector and suggesting market expectations for margin recovery.

The fundamental strength indicators include:

  • ROE of 18.92% demonstrates effective equity deployment despite capital intensity, exceeding typical utility benchmarks
  • Operating margin of 10.84% reflects competitive positioning in wholesale power markets
  • Beta of 1.42 indicates volatility characteristics more aligned with merchant generation than regulated utilities

Material risks emerge from the balance sheet structure, where a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.1 signals aggressive leverage typical of capital-intensive power generation. The current ratio of 0.78 raises working capital questions, while the compression in earnings per share to $2.73 despite revenue expansion points to margin pressure or non-recurring charges affecting recent profitability.

The P/B ratio of 10.72 substantially exceeds book value of $15.08 per share, implying the market prices significant intangible value beyond physical generation assets. Compared to peers TLN, AES, and HNRG, VST's valuation multiples and leverage profile position it as a higher-risk, higher-volatility play within the power generation space, with growth metrics differentiating it from traditional utility comparables.

Analysis updated monthly based on systematic screening of fundamentals, profitability, growth, and peer positioning.

Related Stocks
AAPL NVDA MSFT AMZN GOOGL META TSLA AVGO JPM V MA LLY UNH XOM JNJ WMT PG HD MRK COST BAC ABBV CRM CVX ORCL KO PEP AMD NFLX ADBE

Explore AI analysis for top stocks — Full Rankings · AI Screener · Earnings Calendar