VLO
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PREV CLOSE OPEN DAY RANGE
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MASTER
ESEN VERDICT
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Horizon6–12M
Confidence
Data coverage

VLO Stock AI Analysis

ESEN AI analysis of VLO stock updated every 12 hours.

ESEN Institutional Analysis

VLO Systematic Research

Valero Energy Corp presents a distinctive refining profile with a market capitalization of $92.9 billion and defensive characteristics reflected in its beta of 0.55. Systematic screening highlights a dramatic earnings inflection, with EPS growth of 383.82% year-over-year elevating the trailing twelve-month P/E to 21.68. This valuation expansion coincides with the current price of $312.90 approaching the upper boundary of its 52-week range ($130.78–$320.24), indicating substantial momentum in the refining cycle.

The model indicates several fundamental strengths in VLO's operational metrics:

  • Return on equity of 17.63% demonstrates effective capital deployment despite the capital-intensive nature of refining operations
  • Price-to-sales ratio of 0.73 remains compressed relative to the broader energy sector, suggesting margin leverage opportunities
  • Conservative balance sheet structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45 and current ratio of 1.65 provides financial flexibility through commodity cycles
  • Price-to-book ratio of 2.09 against book value per share of $79.36 reflects market recognition of refining asset quality

Research perspective identifies concentration risk in the refining margin environment, as evidenced by the negative revenue growth of -2.78% despite surging profitability. Net margin of 3.37% remains thin, exposing earnings to crack spread volatility.

Relative to independent refining peers Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Phillips 66 (PSX), and HF Sinclair (DINO), fundamental criteria place VLO as the largest pure-play refiner by market capitalization. The screener flags VLO's defensive beta as distinctive among peers, potentially appealing to portfolios seeking energy exposure with lower volatility characteristics during macroeconomic uncertainty.

Analysis updated monthly based on systematic screening of fundamentals, profitability, growth, and peer positioning.

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