SYNA — —
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ESEN VERDICT
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Horizon6–12M
Confidence—
Data coverage—
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SYNA — Synaptics Inc | Institutional Grade Score
Metric Grade Score Evidence Horizon
FINAL ESEN MASTER SCORE C+ 61/100 Hyper-growth profile offset by negative earnings, elevated valuation, high beta volatility 6–12M
SA Quality/Value Composite C 58 No P/E (negative EPS: –$1.24); forward P/E 25.6× elevated for unprofitable growth stock; market cap $4.3B Current
Earnings Momentum & Sustainability D+ 48 Negative EPS, no disclosed earnings date; YoY revenue growth +12.8% shows resilience but earnings recovery timeline opaque 6–12M
Institutional & Smart Money Flow B 72 Hyper-growth flag active; 52-week return +63.5% signals past momentum; current drawdown –4.8% from open suggests profit-taking, not capitulation 1–3M
Growth Sustainability & Moat B– 68 Semiconductors sector; 12.8% YoY revenue growth in recovery cycle; hyper-growth flag active; moat visibility limited due to earnings opacity 6–12M
Valuation & Safety (Pre-Penalty) C– 52 Forward P/E 25.6× is elevated for unprofitable stock; no dividend support; 52-week range $58–$149 shows 156% volatility; no earnings date disclosed Current
Penalty Overlay –12 pts –12 Negative profitability (EPS –$1.24), lack of profitability disclosure, high beta (1.98), earnings visibility gap, no dividend yield Current
Confidence Score C+ 64 Strong data on price, volume, growth; gaps in earnings timing and forward guidance; sector momentum evident but recovery path uncertain 6–12M
Volatility & Drawdown Risk D 45 Beta 1.98× market; 52-week drawdown from high –30.2%; intraday swings $104.4–$110.99; negative earnings amplify downside tail risk 1–3M
Crowding Risk Flag YELLOW 65 63.5% YTD return attracts momentum traders; semiconductor sector in focus; hyper-growth profile invites crowding; current 4.8% pullback may filter weak hands 1–3M
Snapshot Grid
Current Price
$105.53
Change (1D)
–4.81%
52W High/Low
$149.11 / $58.28
Market Cap
$4.33B
Forward P/E
25.6×
YoY Revenue Growth
+12.8%
EPS (TTM)
–$1.24
Beta
1.98
Peer Context & Industry Position

Synaptics operates in the semiconductor space, competing against larger diversified players and specialized touch/display interface competitors. The 12.8% YoY revenue growth demonstrates market resilience in a cyclical industry, but the company is unprofitable (EPS –$1.24), placing it in a recovery-phase narrative. The 63.5% 52-week return reflects sector momentum and potential margin recovery expectations, but the current 4.8% intraday pullback and elevated forward P/E (25.6×) suggest valuation is pricing in significant upside already. Within the semiconductor space, SYNA's hyper-growth flag combined with negative earnings makes it a speculative recovery play rather than a quality compounder. Peers with positive earnings and lower multiples offer less volatility but less upside.

2-Horizon Insight
1–3M Outlook

Tactical pressure with recovery window: The –4.8% pullback from $110.87 open may signal profit-taking from the 63.5% YTD run. Beta of 1.98 means SYNA will amplify broad market moves. No disclosed earnings date creates uncertainty; an earnings miss or guidance cut could trigger sharp downside. Conversely, a positive EPS surprise or margin expansion announcement could re-ignite momentum. Crowding risk is elevated given the hyper-growth flag and recent rally; watch for capitulation washout or breakout below 52-week low ($58.28).

6–12M Outlook

Recovery narrative path-dependent on profitability: The 12.8% revenue growth suggests underlying demand is intact, but earnings recovery is the critical event. If SYNA returns to profitability and delivers positive forward guidance, the stock could re-rate higher. If earnings miss persists or contract, the current 25.6× forward P/E becomes indefensible and downside to $75–$85 is plausible. Semiconductor sector tailwinds (AI, edge computing, automotive) favor longer-term growth, but near-term execution risk is high. Dividend-free structure offers no downside cushion.

Final Verdict
HOLD WITH CAUTION – Unprofitable growth-stage semiconductor play; strong revenue momentum (+12.8% YoY) offset by negative earnings (–$1.24 EPS) and elevated forward valuation (25.6×). Beta 1.98 amplifies downside; no earnings date disclosed creates opacity. Suitable for risk-tolerant growth portfolios with 6–12M horizon; avoid for income or conservative allocations. Near-term: watch for earnings announcement and margin trajectory. Crowding risk: HIGH.

ESEN Master Score: 61/100 (C+) | Confidence: 64/100 | Risk-Adjusted Outlook: CAUTIOUS OPPORTUNISTIC
Data as of 2026-07-29 16:51 UTC | Source: Finnhub Live Feed

📊 Snapshot
Ticker
SYNA
Company
Synaptics Inc
Sector
Semiconductors
Market Cap
$4.3B
Current Price
$107.31
52W Range
$58.28 – $149.11
Today's Change
–2.48%
52W Return
+56.13%
📈 Earnings Momentum

⚠️ Data Coverage Constraint: Quarterly EPS actuals, estimates, and surprise data are not currently disclosed in available sources. Analysis based on TTM and forward metrics only.

Metric Value Assessment
EPS (TTM) –$12.65 Negative Earnings
Revenue Growth YoY +8.9% Moderate organic growth despite profitability headwinds
Forward P/E 20.65x Implies forward EPS recovery; market pricing turnaround
EPS Growth YoY N/A TTM EPS negative; comparison not meaningful
Guidance Trend Limited visibility No recent earnings date disclosed; forward guidance unclear
Earnings Momentum Score: 4/10 — Revenue is growing, but company is unprofitable on a TTM basis. Forward P/E suggests market expects EPS recovery, but current loss makes momentum assessment cautious. No recent earnings data available.
💰 Profitability & Quality

⚠️ Data Gap: Gross margin, operating margin, net margin, ROE, ROIC, and FCF not disclosed in current data set. Assessment constrained to available metrics.

Metric Value Implication
Net Income (TTM) Negative Company unprofitable; negative earnings per share of –$12.65
Revenue Growth YoY +8.9% Organic growth present, but not translating to profitability
Gross Margin Not disclosed Coverage gap prevents detailed cost structure analysis
Operating Margin Not disclosed Unable to assess operational efficiency
Free Cash Flow (TTM) Not disclosed Liquidity and cash generation visibility constrained
Quality Score: 2/10 — Negative earnings and absence of disclosed profitability metrics signal fundamental weakness. Despite 8.9% revenue growth, company is unable to generate profits. Quality is severely compromised.
🏦 Balance Sheet Health

⚠️ Data Gap: Cash, total debt, equity, current assets/liabilities, and debt ratios not disclosed. Assessment based on market cap and enterprise value only.

Metric Value Assessment
Market Cap $4.3B Mid-cap semiconductor company
Enterprise Value $4.3B EV ≈ Market Cap suggests minimal net debt or cash position
Cash Balance Not disclosed Liquidity position unknown
Total Debt Not disclosed Leverage and solvency assessment constrained
Current Ratio Not disclosed Short-term liquidity visibility limited
Share Dilution Trend Limited visibility No recent insider or equity issuance data available
Balance Sheet Risk: MODERATE — EV ≈ Market Cap suggests reasonable debt position, but absence of cash, liability, and liquidity metrics prevents definitive assessment. Negative earnings raise concerns about debt service and runway. Recommend detailed 10-K review.
💵 Valuation Analysis
Metric Value Interpretation
Trailing P/E Not available Company has negative earnings; traditional P/E not applicable
Forward P/E 20.65x Market-implied forward EPS recovery; premium to semiconductor median (~16–18x)
PEG Ratio Not calculable Requires forward earnings growth rate; data not disclosed
Price-to-Sales Not calculable Revenue TTM not disclosed
EV/EBITDA Not calculable EBITDA not disclosed
Price-to-FCF Not calculable Free cash flow not disclosed
52-Week Performance +56.13% Strong near-term momentum; trading well above 52W low of $58.28
Valuation Status: ELEVATED & SPECULATIVE — Forward P/E of 20.65x is premium relative to semiconductor sector, reflecting market bet on earnings recovery. Negative current earnings and data gaps create valuation uncertainty. Upside pricing already reflects turnaround thesis.
🎯 Analyst Targets & Sentiment

⚠️ Data Gap: Analyst consensus rating, target price, and sentiment data are not disclosed in current sources. Wall Street coverage assessment constrained.

Metric Value Note
Consensus Rating Not available Buy/Hold/Sell breakdown not disclosed
Target Price (Mean) Not available Coverage constrained by data provider
Price Target Range Not available High/Low targets not disclosed
Implied Upside Unknown Cannot calculate without mean target
Target Dispersion Not available Analyst disagreement level unknown
Beta 1.997 Nearly 2x market volatility; high-beta semiconductor play
Wall Street Sentiment: UNKNOWN — Analyst target and rating data not available. High beta (2.0x) and 56% YTD return suggest market enthusiasm, but without consensus guidance, institutional positioning unclear.
⚠️ Institutional & Risk Check

⚠️ Data Gap: Institutional ownership trend, insider activity, short interest, and earnings date not disclosed in current sources.

Risk Factor Status Severity
Current Profitability Negative earnings (–$12.65 EPS) Critical
Valuation Multiple Forward P/E 20.65x (above sector median) High
Revenue Growth +8.9% YoY (modest for unprofitable co.) Moderate
Stock Volatility (Beta) 1.997 (nearly 2x market) High
Balance Sheet Detail Cash, debt, equity not disclosed Coverage Gap
Earnings Visibility Next earnings date not disclosed Coverage Gap
Institutional Positioning Ownership, insider activity unknown Coverage Gap
Risk Level: HIGH — Negative earnings, elevated forward P/E, high volatility (beta 2.0), and data gaps create material downside risk. Stock is pricing a turnaround, but execution risk is substantial. Balance sheet visibility and earnings timing critical for investors.
🔷 Final ESEN Verdict
43
Overall Fundamental Score: 43/100
Conviction: MODERATE (70% confidence in score)
Constrained by data gaps; recommend 10-K review for complete assessment
Short Term (1–3M)
HOLD
High volatility; await earnings clarity
Medium Term (6–12M)
WATCH
Turnaround inflection point; profitability critical
Long Term (2Y+)
SPECULATIVE
Depends on sustainable margin recovery
📌 Executive Summary
  • Earnings Crisis: TTM EPS of –$12.65 signals deep unprofitability despite 8.9% revenue growth. Market betting on recovery via 20.65x forward P/E.
  • Valuation Risk: Forward multiple elevated relative to semiconductor peer set. Current pricing assumes near-term turnaround; failure to deliver implies 20–30% downside.
  • Data Gaps Constrain Assessment: Margins, cash flow, balance sheet leverage, and institutional positioning not disclosed. Recommend detailed 10-K analysis before major position.
  • High Volatility Play: Beta of 2.0 and 56% YTD return reflect speculative positioning. Suitable only for risk-tolerant investors with time horizon for recovery.
  • Key Catalyst: Next earnings release will be determinative. If margins remain negative, downside risk significant. If profitability improves, stock could re-rate higher.

SYNA Stock AI Analysis

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SYNA Stock Analysis & Forecast

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Our model indicates a neutral outlook based on current fundamentals and momentum.

SYNA Stock Forecast

Based on recent earnings trends, valuation metrics, and sector performance, SYNA shows balanced risk-reward characteristics.

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