| Metric | Grade | Score | Evidence | Horizon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FINAL ESEN MASTER SCORE | C+ | 56 | Mature defensive logistics play; high valuation offset by weak earnings momentum and negative revenue trends | 12M |
| SA Quality/Value Composite | C | 52 | PE 56.76x forward 33.14x; dividend yield 0.83% attractive, but PEG −2.01 signals earnings contraction; no hyper-growth flag | 12M |
| Zacks Earnings Momentum | D+ | 42 | EPS growth YoY −28.2%; eps $3.62 compressed; no forward guidance visibility (data gap) | 6M |
| Institutional & Smart Money Flow | C | 54 | 52-week return +34.3%; intraday reversal −4.32% (−$8.65); beta 0.89 suggests defensive positioning; volume coverage constrained | 3M |
| Growth Sustainability & Moat | C− | 48 | Road & Rail transportation sector; revenue YoY −0.83%; no hyper-growth, strong profitability, or balance sheet flags disclosed; limited visibility on competitive moat renewal | 12M |
| Valuation & Safety (Pre-Penalty) | C− | 45 | High valuation flag active; PE 56.76x on compressed earnings; market cap $6.5B; 52-week range $119–$228 indicates elevated volatility relative to fundamentals | 12M |
| Penalty Overlay | — | −8 | Negative EPS growth, revenue decline, data gaps (earnings date, TTM revenue, target price); high valuation in stagnant growth environment | 12M |
| CONFIDENCE SCORE | C+ | 61 | LIVE_DATA rich on valuation metrics; earnings and growth data partial (TTM revenue missing, earnings date unavailable); assessment based on available disclosed data | 12M |
| Volatility & Drawdown Risk | B− | 68 | Beta 0.89 (below-market), but 52-week range $119–$228 (91.5% span) and today's −4.32% intraday reversal indicate event/sentiment sensitivity; drawdown risk moderate-to-elevated in downturn | 6M |
| Crowding Risk Flag | B | 71 | YTD +34.3%; dividend yield 0.83% may attract income/value crowds; defensive sector positioning suggests institutional overweight possible; no short-squeeze or retail crowding visible | 3M |
Landstar System (LSTR) is a mid-cap logistics and transportation operator in the Road & Rail sector. The company trades at a premium valuation (PE 56.76x, forward 33.14x) relative to sector peers experiencing similar headwinds: freight volumes are soft (revenue YoY −0.83%), earnings are under pressure (EPS YoY −28.2%), and growth visibility is constrained. The 0.83% dividend yield, while modest, reflects capital discipline. LSTR's beta of 0.89 positions it as a defensive play, but the high absolute valuation in a contracting earnings environment creates asymmetric downside risk relative to peer multiples. Institutional ownership likely reflects dividend income strategies and low-beta portfolio balancing rather than growth conviction.
- Earnings Compression: EPS YoY −28.2% on revenue decline −0.83%; forward guidance absent (data gap).
- Valuation Risk: PE 56.76x and forward PE 33.14x near/above historical averages; limited multiple expansion room.
- Cyclical Exposure: Transportation/logistics highly sensitive to freight volumes and macro weakness; no hyper-growth flag suggests demand stagnation.
- Dividend Sustainability: TTM revenue and earnings-to-dividend ratio unavailable; yield 0.83% modest but at risk if earnings cycle deteriorates.
- Data Gaps: Earnings date, TTM revenue, target price consensus, and balance sheet details missing; assessment constrained by coverage gaps.
LSTR Stock Analysis & Forecast
Is LSTR a Good Investment in 2026?
Our model indicates a neutral outlook based on current fundamentals and momentum.
LSTR Stock Forecast
Based on recent earnings trends, valuation metrics, and sector performance, LSTR shows balanced risk-reward characteristics.
Should You Buy LSTR Now?
Investors should consider market conditions, volatility, and long-term positioning before taking a position in LSTR.