AES

ESEN Institutional Research

AES Stock AI Analysis

ESEN AI analysis of AES stock updated every 12 hours.

ESEN Institutional Analysis

AES Systematic Research

AES Corp presents a distinctive fundamental profile within the utility sector, marked by an exceptionally high ROE of 34.38% that contrasts sharply with a significantly elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 7.36. Trading at $14.53 with a market capitalization of $10.3 billion, the company operates approximately 18% below its 52-week high of $17.65, while systematic valuation screens flag a compressed P/E (TTM) multiple of 7.64 relative to the sector average.

The financial model reveals several strengths that differentiate AES within the utilities landscape:

  • Valuation compression: The P/S (TTM) ratio of 0.83 and P/B multiple of 2.51 position the equity at substantial discounts to traditional utility premium valuations, despite double-digit net margins of 10.82%.
  • Profitability metrics: The 34.38% ROE significantly outpaces typical utility sector returns, though this figure reflects the leverage effect from the elevated 7.36 debt-to-equity structure.
  • Earnings consistency: EPS of $1.90 represents 4.55% year-over-year growth, while revenue expanded 3.04%, indicating operational stability.

The quantitative screening process identifies material risk factors requiring monitoring. The current ratio of 0.77 falls below the 1.0 liquidity threshold, while the 7.36 debt-to-equity ratio substantially exceeds utility sector norms. The capital-intensive nature of power generation assets necessitates ongoing refinancing capacity in varying rate environments. Beta of 0.96 suggests market-level volatility characteristics.

Relative to peers VST, TLN, and HNRG, AES demonstrates compressed valuation multiples combined with superior return metrics, though the balance sheet structure presents differentiated leverage exposure within the cohort.

Analysis updated monthly based on systematic screening of fundamentals, profitability, growth, and peer positioning.

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